Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.918786 7.651992 8.468561 9.453059 10.618260 11.966738 13.665362
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.694900 6.633324 7.766095 9.262478 11.232599 13.808219 17.559728
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.057144 6.088344 7.400313 9.245458 11.869822 15.640520 21.846829
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.538416 5.590960 6.980853 9.027314 12.114590 16.899613 25.648741
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.197846 5.273961 6.741456 8.992022 12.575996 18.550146 30.715336
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.915385 4.999599 6.518455 8.930413 12.959126 20.138990 36.385447
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.764128 4.889003 6.510404 9.184348 13.895071 22.970509 46.400139
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.499342 4.590752 6.190707 8.890110 13.805071 23.759805 51.892726
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.259783 4.311065 5.873437 8.559215 13.585944 24.213935 56.807348
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.075874 4.101018 5.645835 8.352876 13.566990 25.109572 63.919957
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.950751 3.970599 5.531954 8.329284 13.902403 26.946036 76.327637
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.960446 4.045283 5.750918 8.924881 15.635394 33.036251 117.019775
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.874222 3.975437 5.743988 9.138360 16.682673 38.114078 170.907253
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.723167 3.795088 5.539672 8.954595 16.796019 40.500641 218.849360
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.614378 3.675040 5.427882 8.938361 17.317037 44.668193 315.595047
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.486662 3.515899 5.234515 8.730860 17.304408 46.897460 416.434030
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.395862 3.412022 5.130831 8.697278 17.750861 51.408479 657.413616
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.309159 3.309749 5.021898 8.638649 18.118401 55.973608 1118.913228
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.269173 3.283425 5.048976 8.880243 19.429339 66.750232 4048.760471
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.165687 3.143247 4.854376 8.600289 19.084740 68.058794 7690.368443
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.064802 3.003271 4.652413 8.285191 18.572880 68.069691 14430.892289
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.984952 2.896315 4.507135 8.088558 18.410864 70.378454 81741.875959
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.930978 2.831870 4.439018 8.066069 18.824637 77.308178 NaN